Research collection

Selected Topics in Quant Finance

Six standalone studies in quantitative finance: central-bank statement sentiment, intraday spectral structure, order-book microstructure, risk-signal change detection, cross-sectional intraday reversal, and a public-data replication audit.

These are independent investigations grouped by theme rather than a single arc, in no particular order. Each opens its full report below.

In this collection

Independent studies

These reports share a quantitative-finance theme but can be read in any order.

4 June 2026

FOMC Statement Sentiment and the 2-Year Yield Reaction

An event-study testing whether FinBERT-coded changes in FOMC statement tone explain 30-minute 2-year Treasury-futures proxy moves around release times.

Alternative Data / Event Study / Fixed Income

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Baseline scatter from the FOMC statement sentiment and 2-year yield reaction report
Fig. 01 Baseline scatter from the FOMC statement sentiment and 2-year yield reaction report

16 July 2026

Spectral Signatures in SPY and BTC Intraday Returns

A sample-limited comparison of intraday spectral band shares in SPY and BTC, with a cross-method audit showing how STFT and DWT specifications can dominate the headline asset gap.

Signal Processing / Market Microstructure / Python

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Stress versus calm daily band-share distributions from the spectral signatures report
Fig. 02 Stress versus calm daily band-share distributions from the spectral signatures report

17 September 2020

Order-Book Imbalance as a One-Second Predictor

A reproducible execution-research baseline testing whether top-five order-book imbalance, spread, and prior-one-second signed trade imbalance predict one-second-ahead mid-price direction.

Market Microstructure / Execution Research / Python

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Global AUC and calibration summary from the order-book imbalance predictor report
Fig. 03 Global AUC and calibration summary from the order-book imbalance predictor report

28 May 2026

SPX Realized-Volatility Change-Point Shoot-Out

A pre-registered detector bake-off comparing HMM, CUSUM, PELT, and a fixed-threshold baseline on SPX log realized volatility from 2010 to 2026.

Risk Signals / Change-Point Detection / Python

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Event-by-detector match matrix from the SPX realized-volatility change-point report
Fig. 04 Event-by-detector match matrix from the SPX realized-volatility change-point report

24 June 2026

Cross-Sectional Intraday Reversal at Multiple Horizons

A point-in-time re-measurement of intraday cross-sectional reversal on 373 million minute bars across 529 US large caps, sorted into deciles at 5-, 30-, and 60-minute horizons over 2018 to 2025.

Factor Research / Market Microstructure / Python

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Annualized reversal long-short by year and horizon from the cross-sectional intraday reversal report
Fig. 05 Annualized reversal long-short by year and horizon from the cross-sectional intraday reversal report

9 December 2025

Real-Time Machine Learning in the Cross-Section: A Public-Data Reproduction

A leak-audited replication attempt on the Chen-Zimmermann sub-analysis of Li, Rossi, Yan and Zheng (JFE 2025), rebuilt as an expanding-recursive real-time pipeline on public, commercial-clean data.

Model Governance / Replication / Python

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Cumulative gross 10-1 long-short return from the real-time machine-learning replication audit
Fig. 06 Cumulative gross 10-1 long-short return from the real-time machine-learning replication audit